Skip to main content

Velo Media

Two Shows, One Shrinking Pie: Why Europe’s Trade Show Split Is a Gift to Shanghai

Written by :

Posted on :

For years, if you wanted to know where the cycling industry was heading, you went to Eurobike. One show, one week, one place where every brand, distributor, and retailer in the business crossed paths. That era is over.

 

In June 2026, the German Bicycle Industry Association (ZIV) and Koelnmesse announced a brand-new trade fair: “towards tomorrow – European Bike Show,” set to debut in Cologne from September 6–8, 2027. It’s backed by ZIV, positioned explicitly as B2B-only, and built under the banner “by the industry, for the industry.” Major retail associations have already signaled support.

 

The timing is not subtle. Eurobike had “just” confirmed its own move to September 2027, running September 1–3 — days before the new Cologne show opens. Two major European bike shows, in Germany, in the same week, competing for the same brands, the same buyers, and the same media attention.

 

How we got here

 

This didn’t happen overnight. ZIV and Zukunft Fahrrad pulled their support from Eurobike over disagreements about how to modernize the show for the industry’s actual needs. Bosch followed, declining to exhibit. Eurobike itself has been bleeding exhibitors — roughly 800 exhibitors from 44 countries at the 2026 edition, down sharply from 2025’s 1,500. Trade attendance was roughly halved year-on-year. In response, Eurobike announced it will move to a **biennial** schedule after 2027, skipping 2028 entirely.

 

So the “solution” to a struggling, shrinking show is… a second, competing show, launched by the very organizations that walked away from the first one. Two fairs, one week apart, in a market that couldn’t fully support one.

 

What the European Leaders are Saying

 

I recently spoke with a leading CEO in the industry from Europe. His read was blunt: none of this infighting helps European brands, retailers, or the industry’s standing on the world stage. The only real winner, in his view, is Shanghai.

 

That’s hard to argue with. China Cycle — the Shanghai bike show — has quietly become the largest cycling trade show on earth, reportedly drawing well over 150,000 attendees and thousands of exhibitors, dwarfing Eurobike’s current scale. Booth costs are a fraction of what they run in Frankfurt or Cologne. Chinese manufacturing has matured to the point where the components, groupsets, and finished bikes shown there are genuinely competitive with what Western brands are producing — and increasingly aimed squarely at Western markets.

 

The point, as I heard it, was less about China’s rise (which was probably inevitable) and more about Europe’s self-inflicted wound. When your home continent can’t agree on where and how to gather its own industry, you cede the moment. If Shanghai becomes the place where the biggest product news actually breaks — because it has the scale, the cost structure, and the momentum that a fractured Europe no longer offers — Europe isn’t just losing a trade show. It’s losing its claim to be where the cycling industry sets its agenda.

 

Why fragmentation is worse than a bad show

 

A struggling single show is a fixable problem — better format, sharper focus, smarter dates. A fragmented market is a much harder one to unwind, because now brands face a genuine allocation decision every year: Frankfurt or Cologne? Both, at double the cost? Neither, and just launch product on their own channels and let China Cycle pick up whatever attention is left?

 

For smaller and mid-sized brands — many of the clients I work with day to day — that choice is expensive in a way the majors can absorb but they cannot. Split trade show budgets mean split relationships, split media coverage, and a European industry that increasingly negotiates with itself instead of presenting a united front to retailers, media, and the wider mobility conversation policymakers are having.

 

Meanwhile, brands are already drifting away from the old trade-show-and-model-year rhythm entirely, favoring their own launch events and always-on digital rollouts. A trade show that can’t guarantee a critical mass of the industry in one room, one time, one place, is fighting for relevance even without a rival two hundred kilometers down the Rhine.

 

The pity of it

 

What frustrates me most isn’t that ZIV and Eurobike disagree — disagreement is normal, and Eurobike clearly needed pressure to change. It’s that the disagreement produced “competition” instead of “resolution”. A single reformed show, with the backing of both the trade groups and the organizer, would have been a stronger answer to Shanghai’s scale than two half-strength shows squeezed into the same September week.

 

Europe still has real advantages: proximity to its own market, deep engineering and design heritage, and brands that customers trust. But those advantages don’t show up on a spreadsheet the way “160,000 attendees at a tenth of the booth cost” does. If the European industry wants to keep major launches, media attention, and buyer traffic on this side of the world, it needs a coordinated stage to put them on — not two rival ones fighting over a shrinking audience while Shanghai quietly becomes the default answer to “where’s this year’s big launch happening?”

Like this content? Sign up for the ‘Business of Cycling’ newsletter and receive updates right in your inbox.